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Red111
607834.9
860864.0
445322.9
Blue49
551718.3
570413.4
842428.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1283705010015020011149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+52Teleop
+62Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave9
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points4
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +35
14Coral scored#6
51Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
65Total teleop30
Reef
5L4#1
7L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
0Foul points0
111Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.00.1
61.061.1
Auto19.9
Teleop35.8
End8.2
red by 35.4
8424
#14
28.60.5
18.619.1
Auto7.1
Teleop17.6
End3.9
Second
6078
#20
34.90.1
33.133.2
Auto3.9
Teleop25.2
End5.9
red by 16.7
5517
#30
18.30.3
15.515.8
Auto6.6
Teleop8.6
End3.1
Third
4453
#13
22.90.1
15.615.7
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End5.7
red by 9.5
5704
#40
13.40.5
10.310.8
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed