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Red63
719531.2
920312.9
1034933.6
Blue129
837424.8
705645.4
168438.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8795608010012014063129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+62
Endgame+66
Fouls+66
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +62
11Coral scored#26
38Coral points92
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
52Total teleop114
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#6
2L2#7
3L1 · trough#6
15Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +66
0Foul points0
63Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.61.8
29.527.7
Auto5.9
Teleop25.6
End2.2
blue by 11.8
45.42.3
34.636.9
Auto10.4
Teleop29.4
End5.6
Second
7195
#32
31.21.8
30.829.0
Auto6.5
Teleop19.6
End5.1
blue by 7.0
1684
#18
38.22.3
33.135.4
Auto7.1
Teleop28.1
End3.0
Third
9203
#25
12.91.8
17.715.9
Auto4.7
Teleop6.8
End1.4
blue by 11.9
8374
#36
24.82.3
16.318.7
Auto4.5
Teleop18.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed