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Red99
148144.7
567431.9
659118.4
Blue96
781817.5
96619.6
365554.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99810501502009996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+7Teleop
Endgame+3
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +11
17Coral scored#13
60Coral points45
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
80Total teleop69
Reef
6L4#7
7L3#5
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
6Foul points0
99Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1481
#19
44.70.1
42.342.3
Auto7.1
Teleop36.5
End1.0
blue by 9.8
54.50.9
44.845.7
Auto13.0
Teleop33.5
End8.0
Second
5674
#21
31.90.1
29.129.0
Auto3.5
Teleop26.2
End2.2
red by 14.4
7818
#26
17.51.4
12.614.0
Auto3.2
Teleop10.2
End4.2
Third
6591
#34
18.40.1
15.115.0
Auto4.1
Teleop12.7
End1.6
red by 8.8
9661
#35
9.61.4
16.818.2
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned