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Red123
535245.1
728921.2
370731.2
Blue127
477651.1
353659.7
65566.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87114204060100140160123127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+28Teleop
+20Endgame
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points14
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +32
19Coral scored#15
67Coral points55
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
101Total teleop69
Reef
8L4#4
4L3#7
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points24
123Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5352
#12
45.11.9
37.639.5
Auto9.8
Teleop28.1
End7.2
blue by 14.7
59.71.0
53.252.2
Auto14.4
Teleop35.7
End9.6
Second
3707
#23
31.21.9
24.926.7
Auto6.2
Teleop23.1
End1.9
blue by 20.0
4776
#10
51.11.0
44.543.6
Auto13.7
Teleop30.1
End7.3
Third
7289
#38
21.21.9
22.124.0
Auto5.6
Teleop15.0
End0.7
red by 14.7
6556
#39
6.51.0
7.76.7
Auto0.1
Teleop7.2
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned