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Red52
659118.4
65566.5
921529.5
Blue54
97539.8
495623.1
924120.2
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564501001505254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+4Teleop
0Endgame0
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +11
7Coral scored#6
25Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
43Total teleop32
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#1
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points2
52Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9215
#28
29.50.2
30.230.0
Auto6.0
Teleop21.1
End2.3
red by 6.3
4956
#22
23.10.2
19.319.5
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End3.7
Second
6591
#34
18.40.2
15.014.8
Auto4.1
Teleop12.7
End1.6
blue by 1.8
20.20.2
20.120.3
Auto5.3
Teleop11.4
End3.5
Third
6556
#39
6.50.2
6.76.5
Auto0.1
Teleop7.2
End-0.7
blue by 3.3
9753
#37
9.80.2
7.17.3
Auto1.9
Teleop6.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed