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Red97
725417.0
477651.1
607834.9
Blue113
370731.2
608529.4
365554.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98103608012014097113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+16
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points20
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +13
13Coral scored#16
46Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
60Total teleop73
Reef
7L4#7
3L3#7
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
97Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4776
#10
51.10.4
43.643.9
Auto13.7
Teleop30.1
End7.3
blue by 3.3
54.51.3
45.746.9
Auto13.0
Teleop33.5
End8.0
Second
6078
#20
34.90.4
33.233.6
Auto3.9
Teleop25.2
End5.9
red by 3.8
3707
#23
31.21.3
26.728.0
Auto6.2
Teleop23.1
End1.9
Third
7254
#27
17.00.4
14.815.1
Auto4.6
Teleop8.9
End3.4
blue by 12.4
6085
#31
29.41.3
21.622.9
Auto4.7
Teleop22.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsEarned