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Red130
842428.6
837424.8
91055.6
Blue58
1062918.4
728921.2
168438.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions928105015020013058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+56Teleop
+72Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave3
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
14Coral scored#10
52Coral points35
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
84Total teleop49
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#3
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#14
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
0Foul points0
130Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#2
55.62.9
43.946.9
Auto15.9
Teleop31.9
End7.9
red by 17.4
1684
#18
38.21.2
33.532.4
Auto7.1
Teleop28.1
End3.0
Second
8424
#14
28.64.6
23.327.9
Auto7.1
Teleop17.6
End3.9
red by 7.4
7289
#38
21.21.2
24.022.8
Auto5.6
Teleop15.0
End0.7
Third
8374
#36
24.82.9
18.721.6
Auto4.5
Teleop18.9
End1.3
red by 6.4
18.41.2
18.116.9
Auto3.9
Teleop12.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed