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Red152
150434.7
781817.5
860864.0
Blue99
97539.8
132222.3
722633.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13156010015020015299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+57Teleop
+59Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave9
5Coral scored#0
24Coral points0
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +33
20Coral scored#12
71Coral points44
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
18Processor points12
8Net points8
26Algae points20
97Total teleop64
Reef
8L4#4
7L3#3
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
6Foul points12
152Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.01.2
62.363.5
Auto19.9
Teleop35.8
End8.2
red by 30.1
33.90.7
33.934.7
Auto5.2
Teleop25.0
End3.7
Second
1504
#17
34.71.2
34.435.5
Auto5.0
Teleop28.4
End1.3
red by 12.4
1322
#29
22.30.7
18.319.0
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End4.9
Third
7818
#26
17.51.8
14.816.6
Auto3.2
Teleop10.2
End4.2
red by 7.7
9753
#37
9.80.7
7.38.1
Auto1.9
Teleop6.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsEarned