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Red91
567431.9
477651.1
920312.9
Blue124
607834.9
1034933.6
370731.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98992040608012014016018091124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+29
Endgame+39
Fouls+33
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave0
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points15
23Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +37
9Coral scored#14
34Coral points51
2Processor algae#4
3Net algae#5
12Processor points24
12Net points20
24Algae points44
58Total teleop95
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
6Foul points0
91Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4776
#10
51.10.2
43.943.7
Auto13.7
Teleop30.1
End7.3
red by 16.2
6078
#20
34.92.4
33.636.0
Auto3.9
Teleop25.2
End5.9
Second
5674
#21
31.90.2
27.727.5
Auto3.5
Teleop26.2
End2.2
blue by 1.8
33.62.4
26.328.7
Auto5.9
Teleop25.6
End2.2
Third
9203
#25
12.90.2
16.416.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.8
End1.4
blue by 18.3
3707
#23
31.22.4
28.030.4
Auto6.2
Teleop23.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned