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Red91
96619.6
924120.2
91055.6
Blue46
608529.4
570413.4
725417.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions945001509146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+45Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +38
15Coral scored#8
55Coral points27
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
73Total teleop35
Reef
8L4#4
3L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
91Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#2
55.60.2
46.947.0
Auto15.9
Teleop31.9
End7.9
red by 26.2
6085
#31
29.40.7
22.922.2
Auto4.7
Teleop22.3
End2.4
Second
20.20.2
20.320.4
Auto5.3
Teleop11.4
End3.5
red by 3.2
7254
#27
17.00.7
15.114.4
Auto4.6
Teleop8.9
End3.4
Third
9661
#35
9.60.3
16.016.3
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End0.2
blue by 3.8
5704
#40
13.41.2
13.112.0
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed