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Red50
551718.3
659118.4
837424.8
Blue88
923813.7
5146.2
1062918.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53842040601001201401605088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+20
Fouls+38
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +11
7Coral scored#9
25Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
35Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
2Cage & park12
2Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points18
50Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8374
#36
24.80.2
21.621.4
Auto4.5
Teleop18.9
End1.3
blue by 21.4
51
#15
46.20.3
43.643.3
Auto5.6
Teleop32.8
End7.8
Second
6591
#34
18.40.2
14.814.6
Auto4.1
Teleop12.7
End1.6
Level
18.40.3
16.916.6
Auto3.9
Teleop12.6
End1.9
Third
5517
#30
18.30.2
16.416.2
Auto6.6
Teleop8.6
End3.1
red by 4.6
9238
#33
13.70.3
14.213.9
Auto2.7
Teleop9.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsMissed