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Red66
65566.5
97539.8
535245.1
Blue70
749129.5
607834.9
920312.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68964060801201401606670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+4Teleop
Endgame+2
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +7
10Coral scored#7
37Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
55Total teleop48
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +6
2Cage & park8
2Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points2
66Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5352
#12
45.10.5
44.444.9
Auto9.8
Teleop28.1
End7.2
red by 10.1
6078
#20
34.90.8
36.035.2
Auto3.9
Teleop25.2
End5.9
Second
9753
#37
9.80.5
8.18.5
Auto1.9
Teleop6.6
End1.2
blue by 19.7
7491
#16
29.50.8
28.027.2
Auto5.1
Teleop22.0
End2.5
Third
6556
#39
6.50.5
6.57.0
Auto0.1
Teleop7.2
End-0.7
blue by 6.3
9203
#25
12.90.8
16.215.4
Auto4.7
Teleop6.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed