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Red72
570413.4
370731.2
150434.7
Blue109
168438.2
1034933.6
608529.4
36%Model gave it64%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions919760708011012013014072109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+35
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +32
10Coral scored#16
37Coral points57
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
6Processor points18
16Net points16
22Algae points34
59Total teleop91
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
72Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1504
#17
34.70.4
35.535.1
Auto5.0
Teleop28.4
End1.3
blue by 3.4
1684
#18
38.21.7
32.434.1
Auto7.1
Teleop28.1
End3.0
Second
3707
#23
31.20.4
30.430.0
Auto6.2
Teleop23.1
End1.9
blue by 2.5
33.61.7
28.730.5
Auto5.9
Teleop25.6
End2.2
Third
5704
#40
13.40.6
12.011.4
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End1.8
blue by 16.0
6085
#31
29.41.7
22.223.9
Auto4.7
Teleop22.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed