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Red151
353659.7
91055.6
495623.1
Blue86
96619.6
148144.7
860864.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1331355010015020015186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+39Teleop
+61Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
6Coral scored#7
28Coral points33
37Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +35
15Coral scored#10
54Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
6Processor points6
24Net points8
30Algae points14
84Total teleop49
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#4
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#20
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
6Foul points2
151Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.71.4
56.357.8
Auto14.4
Teleop35.7
End9.6
blue by 4.2
64.02.6
63.560.8
Auto19.9
Teleop35.8
End8.2
Second
910
#2
55.61.4
47.048.5
Auto15.9
Teleop31.9
End7.9
red by 11.0
1481
#19
44.72.6
43.641.0
Auto7.1
Teleop36.5
End1.0
Third
4956
#22
23.11.4
20.121.5
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End3.7
red by 13.6
9661
#35
9.63.8
16.312.5
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsMissed