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Red81
445322.9
722633.9
719531.2
Blue40
923813.7
842428.6
659118.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions935802040801201401608140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+31Teleop
+43Endgame
+41Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +31
11Coral scored#5
39Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
49Total teleop18
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#3
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#8
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points2
81Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.4
34.734.3
Auto5.2
Teleop25.0
End3.7
red by 5.3
8424
#14
28.62.3
27.925.6
Auto7.1
Teleop17.6
End3.9
Second
7195
#32
31.20.4
29.729.4
Auto6.5
Teleop19.6
End5.1
red by 12.8
6591
#34
18.41.6
14.613.0
Auto4.1
Teleop12.7
End1.6
Third
4453
#13
22.90.4
16.115.7
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End5.7
red by 9.2
9238
#33
13.71.6
13.912.3
Auto2.7
Teleop9.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed