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Red97
5146.2
921529.5
924120.2
Blue51
567431.9
728921.2
781817.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110710204060801001201401609751

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+26Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +19
11Coral scored#9
39Coral points34
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
57Total teleop38
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#12
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
97Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#15
46.20.0
43.343.3
Auto5.6
Teleop32.8
End7.8
red by 14.3
5674
#21
31.91.3
27.526.2
Auto3.5
Teleop26.2
End2.2
Second
9215
#28
29.50.0
30.630.6
Auto6.0
Teleop21.1
End2.3
red by 8.3
7289
#38
21.21.3
23.422.1
Auto5.6
Teleop15.0
End0.7
Third
20.20.0
20.420.4
Auto5.3
Teleop11.4
End3.5
red by 2.7
7818
#26
17.51.9
16.614.8
Auto3.2
Teleop10.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed