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Red61
65566.5
837424.8
725417.0
Blue154
6856.4
365554.5
551718.3
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3413705010015020061154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+39
Teleop+77
Endgame+87
Fouls+93
AutonomousBlue +39
9Leave3
1Coral scored#10
3Coral points48
12Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +38
9Coral scored#18
31Coral points63
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
45Total teleop83
Reef
5L4#13
2L3#7
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +93
0Foul points6
61Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8374
#36
24.81.0
21.422.4
Auto4.5
Teleop18.9
End1.3
blue by 31.6
68
#7
56.42.1
50.152.3
Auto17.1
Teleop33.0
End6.3
Second
7254
#27
17.01.0
14.415.4
Auto4.6
Teleop8.9
End3.4
blue by 37.4
54.52.1
46.748.9
Auto13.0
Teleop33.5
End8.0
Third
6556
#39
6.51.0
7.08.0
Auto0.1
Teleop7.2
End-0.7
blue by 11.7
5517
#30
18.32.1
16.218.3
Auto6.6
Teleop8.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsEarned