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Red24
96619.6
97539.8
607834.9
Blue104
728921.2
1034933.6
5146.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53112010015024104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+82
Endgame+80
Fouls+80
AutonomousBlue +16
6Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
6Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +66
2Coral scored#14
8Coral points50
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
0Processor points12
4Net points16
4Algae points28
12Total teleop78
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#4
0L2#5
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +80
0Foul points0
24Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6078
#20
34.92.1
35.233.0
Auto3.9
Teleop25.2
End5.9
blue by 11.2
51
#15
46.20.3
43.343.6
Auto5.6
Teleop32.8
End7.8
Second
9753
#37
9.82.1
8.56.4
Auto1.9
Teleop6.6
End1.2
blue by 23.8
33.60.3
30.530.8
Auto5.9
Teleop25.6
End2.2
Third
9661
#35
9.62.9
12.59.7
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End0.2
blue by 11.6
7289
#38
21.20.3
22.122.4
Auto5.6
Teleop15.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsMissed