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Red125
370731.2
445322.9
148144.7
Blue28
570413.4
65566.5
924120.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1003505015012528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+77Teleop
+79Endgame
+97Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
9Leave6
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
26Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +57
18Coral scored#4
63Coral points14
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
77Total teleop20
Reef
8L4#1
7L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +97
18Foul points0
125Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1481
#19
44.70.8
41.041.8
Auto7.1
Teleop36.5
End1.0
red by 24.4
20.21.4
20.419.0
Auto5.3
Teleop11.4
End3.5
Second
3707
#23
31.20.8
30.030.8
Auto6.2
Teleop23.1
End1.9
red by 17.8
5704
#40
13.41.9
11.49.5
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End1.8
Third
4453
#13
22.90.8
15.716.6
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End5.7
red by 16.4
6556
#39
6.51.4
8.06.6
Auto0.1
Teleop7.2
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed