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Red107
749129.5
148144.7
923813.7
Blue63
370731.2
725417.0
96619.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9862020408012014016010763

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+44Teleop
+44Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +50
16Coral scored#9
58Coral points34
3Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
18Processor points0
16Net points8
34Algae points8
92Total teleop42
Reef
7L4#3
4L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points0
107Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1481
#19
44.70.8
41.842.6
Auto7.1
Teleop36.5
End1.0
red by 13.5
3707
#23
31.20.4
30.830.4
Auto6.2
Teleop23.1
End1.9
Second
7491
#16
29.50.8
27.228.0
Auto5.1
Teleop22.0
End2.5
red by 12.5
7254
#27
17.00.4
15.415.0
Auto4.6
Teleop8.9
End3.4
Third
9238
#33
13.70.8
11.111.9
Auto2.7
Teleop9.2
End1.8
red by 4.1
9661
#35
9.60.5
9.79.2
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed