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Qual 702025 FIM District Mason Event presented by LIFT
Red118
65566.5
5146.2
860864.0
Blue121
353659.7
168438.2
722633.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12414380100160180200118121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+15Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points16
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +18
21Coral scored#13
74Coral points48
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
6Processor points18
16Net points12
22Algae points30
96Total teleop78
Reef
8L4#4
7L3#4
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
118Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8608
#4
64.00.2
61.6→61.8
Auto19.9
Teleop35.8
End8.2
red by 4.2
3536
#3
59.70.5
57.9→57.4
Auto14.4
Teleop35.7
End9.6
Second
51
#15
46.20.2
43.6→43.9
Auto5.6
Teleop32.8
End7.8
red by 8.0
1684
#18
38.20.5
33.3→32.8
Auto7.1
Teleop28.1
End3.0
Third
6556
#39
6.50.2
6.6→6.9
Auto0.1
Teleop7.2
End-0.7
blue by 27.4
7226
#5
33.90.5
34.3→33.8
Auto5.2
Teleop25.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned