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Red108
716659.9
370731.2
97539.8
Blue131
1034933.6
353659.7
445322.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97121406080140160180200108131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+11
Endgame+21
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points27
23Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +1
14Coral scored#17
51Coral points62
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
79Total teleop80
Reef
6L4#8
6L3#6
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points2
108Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.91.0
53.354.3
Auto14.6
Teleop36.0
End9.4
red by 0.2
59.71.4
57.458.8
Auto14.4
Teleop35.7
End9.6
Second
3707
#23
31.21.0
30.431.5
Auto6.2
Teleop23.1
End1.9
blue by 2.5
33.61.4
30.832.2
Auto5.9
Teleop25.6
End2.2
Third
9753
#37
9.81.0
8.89.8
Auto1.9
Teleop6.6
End1.2
blue by 13.1
4453
#13
22.91.4
19.420.9
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsEarned