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Red119
570413.4
365554.5
923813.7
Blue124
132222.3
781817.5
5146.2
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8595050150119124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+5Teleop
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +9
17Coral scored#19
62Coral points67
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
80Total teleop89
Reef
7L4#9
5L3#5
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
119Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.51.9
51.453.2
Auto13.0
Teleop33.5
End8.0
red by 8.3
51
#15
46.21.8
43.945.7
Auto5.6
Teleop32.8
End7.8
Second
9238
#33
13.71.9
11.913.7
Auto2.7
Teleop9.2
End1.8
blue by 8.6
1322
#29
22.31.8
20.622.3
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End4.9
Third
5704
#40
13.42.1
11.313.4
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End1.8
blue by 4.1
7818
#26
17.52.0
15.517.5
Auto3.2
Teleop10.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned