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Red97
924120.2
477651.1
551718.3
Blue72
842428.6
96619.6
921529.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96690204060801201401609772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+13Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points17
30Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +3
11Coral scored#9
41Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
51Total teleop48
Reef
7L4#5
3L3#2
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
97Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4776
#10
51.10.8
48.349.1
Auto13.7
Teleop30.1
End7.3
red by 21.7
9215
#28
29.50.4
28.629.0
Auto6.0
Teleop21.1
End2.3
Second
20.20.8
19.920.6
Auto5.3
Teleop11.4
End3.5
blue by 8.3
8424
#14
28.60.4
28.528.9
Auto7.1
Teleop17.6
End3.9
Third
5517
#30
18.30.8
17.518.3
Auto6.6
Teleop8.6
End3.1
red by 8.7
9661
#35
9.60.4
9.29.6
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed