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Red179
353659.7
567431.9
148144.7
Blue153
722633.9
921529.5
860864.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14713650100200250179153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+26Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points30
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +8
16Coral scored#19
59Coral points69
3Processor algae#2
8Net algae#5
18Processor points12
32Net points20
50Algae points32
109Total teleop101
Reef
8L4#9
7L3#5
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
33Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +26
24Foul points6
179Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.70.4
59.660.0
Auto14.4
Teleop35.7
End9.6
blue by 4.2
64.00.4
63.664.0
Auto19.9
Teleop35.8
End8.2
Second
1481
#19
44.70.4
44.544.9
Auto7.1
Teleop36.5
End1.0
red by 10.8
33.90.4
33.533.9
Auto5.2
Teleop25.0
End3.7
Third
5674
#21
31.90.4
31.732.1
Auto3.5
Teleop26.2
End2.2
red by 2.4
9215
#28
29.50.4
29.129.5
Auto6.0
Teleop21.1
End2.3