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Red162
353659.7
567431.9
148144.7
Blue154
5146.2
719531.2
6856.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141144100120160180200162154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+16Teleop
+6Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points23
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +9
23Coral scored#19
84Coral points69
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
18Processor points12
12Net points24
30Algae points36
114Total teleop105
Reef
10L4#10
9L3#6
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +8
2Foul points0
162Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.70.6
58.859.4
Auto14.4
Teleop35.7
End9.6
red by 3.3
68
#7
56.40.5
55.956.4
Auto17.1
Teleop33.0
End6.3
Second
1481
#19
44.70.6
43.844.3
Auto7.1
Teleop36.5
End1.0
blue by 1.5
51
#15
46.20.5
45.746.1
Auto5.6
Teleop32.8
End7.8
Third
5674
#21
31.90.6
31.031.6
Auto3.5
Teleop26.2
End2.2
red by 0.7
7195
#32
31.20.5
30.731.2
Auto6.5
Teleop19.6
End5.1