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Red137
445322.9
477651.1
91055.6
Blue90
150434.7
535245.1
924120.2
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132106608012014016018020013790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+43Teleop
+53Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave3
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points13
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +22
12Coral scored#9
42Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
74Total teleop52
Reef
9L4#4
5L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points6
137Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#2
55.60.3
53.653.9
Auto15.9
Teleop31.9
End7.9
red by 10.6
5352
#12
45.10.4
45.845.4
Auto9.8
Teleop28.1
End7.2
Second
4776
#10
51.10.3
49.149.4
Auto13.7
Teleop30.1
End7.3
red by 16.4
1504
#17
34.70.4
35.535.1
Auto5.0
Teleop28.4
End1.3
Third
4453
#13
22.90.3
20.921.2
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End5.7
red by 2.7
20.20.4
20.620.2
Auto5.3
Teleop11.4
End3.5