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Red142
722633.9
921529.5
860864.0
Blue158
716659.9
608529.4
168438.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13912580100160180142158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+22
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
9Coral scored#4
44Coral points21
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +28
14Coral scored#21
52Coral points76
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
76Total teleop104
Reef
8L4#10
5L3#7
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +16
6Foul points0
142Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.00.2
63.563.7
Auto19.9
Teleop35.8
End8.2
red by 4.1
59.90.9
56.156.9
Auto14.6
Teleop36.0
End9.4
Second
33.90.2
33.533.6
Auto5.2
Teleop25.0
End3.7
blue by 4.3
1684
#18
38.20.9
34.435.2
Auto7.1
Teleop28.1
End3.0
Third
9215
#28
29.50.2
29.029.2
Auto6.0
Teleop21.1
End2.3
red by 0.1
6085
#31
29.40.9
25.626.4
Auto4.7
Teleop22.3
End2.4