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Red134
365554.5
495623.1
705645.4
Blue92
370731.2
1034933.6
607834.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133108608010012016018020013492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+32Teleop
+38Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave6
4Coral scored#3
18Coral points13
27Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +24
19Coral scored#11
67Coral points41
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
12Processor points6
12Net points20
24Algae points26
91Total teleop67
Reef
10L4#4
5L3#4
6L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#20
BargeRed +6
10Cage & park4
10Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +42
6Foul points2
134Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.50.2
53.253.4
Auto13.0
Teleop33.5
End8.0
red by 19.5
6078
#20
34.90.3
35.335.0
Auto3.9
Teleop25.2
End5.9
Second
45.40.2
44.244.4
Auto10.4
Teleop29.4
End5.6
red by 11.8
33.60.3
33.933.6
Auto5.9
Teleop25.6
End2.2
Third
4956
#22
23.10.2
21.922.1
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End3.7
blue by 8.0
3707
#23
31.20.3
31.531.2
Auto6.2
Teleop23.1
End1.9