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Red189
1034933.6
860864.0
716659.9
Blue111
705645.4
725417.0
659118.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1747050100150200250189111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+62Teleop
+72Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave9
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points10
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +44
22Coral scored#16
80Coral points56
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
24Processor points12
16Net points8
40Algae points20
120Total teleop76
Reef
10L4#5
8L3#7
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +78
6Foul points0
189Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.01.7
61.863.5
Auto19.9
Teleop35.8
End8.2
red by 18.6
45.42.0
42.244.2
Auto10.4
Teleop29.4
End5.6
Second
59.91.7
54.356.1
Auto14.6
Teleop36.0
End9.4
red by 41.5
6591
#34
18.42.0
16.418.4
Auto4.1
Teleop12.7
End1.6
Third
33.61.7
32.233.9
Auto5.9
Teleop25.6
End2.2
red by 16.6
7254
#27
17.02.0
15.017.0
Auto4.6
Teleop8.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned