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Red45
920312.9
150434.7
728921.2
Blue167
91055.6
6856.4
535245.1
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6717405010015020025045167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+48
Teleop+96
Endgame+122
Fouls+122
AutonomousBlue +48
3Leave9
1Coral scored#10
6Coral points48
9Total auto57
TeleoperatedBlue +48
7Coral scored#16
26Coral points58
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
6Processor points6
4Net points20
10Algae points26
36Total teleop84
Reef
4L4#6
1L3#9
1L2#5
2L1 · trough#6
10Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +26
0Cage & park26
0Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +122
0Foul points0
45Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1504
#17
34.72.3
37.835.5
Auto5.0
Teleop28.4
End1.3
blue by 21.6
68
#7
56.40.8
55.155.9
Auto17.1
Teleop33.0
End6.3
Second
7289
#38
21.22.3
23.521.2
Auto5.6
Teleop15.0
End0.7
blue by 34.4
910
#2
55.60.8
52.853.6
Auto15.9
Teleop31.9
End7.9
Third
9203
#25
12.92.3
15.212.9
Auto4.7
Teleop6.8
End1.4
blue by 32.2
5352
#12
45.10.8
45.145.8
Auto9.8
Teleop28.1
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed57%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsEarned