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Red148
365554.5
495623.1
705645.4
Blue150
716659.9
608529.4
168438.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1291256080100140160180200148150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+28
Endgame+14
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
4Coral scored#7
21Coral points34
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +21
11Coral scored#20
38Coral points73
1Processor algae#2
8Net algae#3
6Processor points12
32Net points12
38Algae points24
76Total teleop97
Reef
4L4#11
4L3#7
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#32
BargeRed +14
30Cage & park16
30Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +2
12Foul points0
148Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.50.4
53.453.8
Auto13.0
Teleop33.5
End8.0
blue by 5.4
59.90.7
56.957.6
Auto14.6
Teleop36.0
End9.4
Second
45.40.4
44.444.7
Auto10.4
Teleop29.4
End5.6
red by 7.2
1684
#18
38.20.7
35.235.9
Auto7.1
Teleop28.1
End3.0
Third
4956
#22
23.10.4
22.122.5
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End3.7
blue by 6.3
6085
#31
29.40.7
26.427.1
Auto4.7
Teleop22.3
End2.4