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Red156
445322.9
477651.1
91055.6
Blue149
353659.7
567431.9
148144.7
33%Model gave it67%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12914380100120160180200220156149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+1Teleop
+13Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points24
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +6
19Coral scored#21
67Coral points77
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
6Processor points6
20Net points16
26Algae points22
93Total teleop99
Reef
7L4#10
8L3#7
8L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#31
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points6
156Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#2
55.60.7
53.954.6
Auto15.9
Teleop31.9
End7.9
blue by 4.1
59.70.2
59.459.6
Auto14.4
Teleop35.7
End9.6
Second
4776
#10
51.10.7
49.450.1
Auto13.7
Teleop30.1
End7.3
red by 6.5
1481
#19
44.70.2
44.344.5
Auto7.1
Teleop36.5
End1.0
Third
4453
#13
22.90.7
21.221.9
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End5.7
blue by 8.9
5674
#21
31.90.2
31.631.7
Auto3.5
Teleop26.2
End2.2