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Red80
81845.0
523927.5
521418.3
Blue84
811517.2
118950.5
330219.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8294601001208084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+10Teleop
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +7
11Coral scored#12
39Coral points44
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
59Total teleop52
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
80Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#10
45.00.4
36.536.9
Auto6.3
Teleop37.5
End1.2
blue by 5.4
50.50.1
44.544.5
Auto9.9
Teleop32.0
End8.6
Second
27.50.4
18.919.3
Auto6.3
Teleop14.3
End6.9
red by 7.9
3302
#14
19.70.1
16.917.0
Auto2.4
Teleop15.7
End1.5
Third
5214
#31
18.30.4
19.019.4
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End2.5
red by 1.2
8115
#36
17.20.1
21.321.4
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsEarned