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Red130
481033.6
353960.4
975726.6
Blue91
1065224.2
1066525.9
1060629.1
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1077205015020013091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+47Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
0Leave9
7Coral scored#1
37Coral points6
37Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +25
16Coral scored#12
59Coral points42
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
18Processor points6
8Net points12
26Algae points18
85Total teleop60
Reef
7L4#6
7L3#3
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +8
8Cage & park16
8Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points0
130Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.41.7
56.157.9
Auto20.4
Teleop32.6
End7.3
red by 31.3
29.10.5
29.129.6
Auto5.8
Teleop14.3
End9.0
Second
33.61.7
18.320.0
Auto6.5
Teleop25.9
End1.2
red by 7.7
25.90.5
21.421.9
Auto4.6
Teleop19.2
End2.1
Third
26.61.7
18.219.9
Auto4.4
Teleop18.1
End4.1
red by 2.4
24.20.5
21.822.3
Auto5.3
Teleop16.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned