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Red86
477944.3
1066815.2
952816.4
Blue77
413028.4
506515.3
781312.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions736740506080901001108677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+7Teleop
+15Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +4
12Coral scored#8
42Coral points28
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
56Total teleop52
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#4
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#15
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points6
86Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.31.4
33.835.2
Auto8.5
Teleop28.8
End7.0
red by 15.9
4130
#18
28.40.7
24.325.0
Auto4.9
Teleop22.8
End0.7
Second
9528
#28
16.41.4
13.715.1
Auto4.1
Teleop10.7
End1.6
red by 1.0
5065
#33
15.30.7
18.419.0
Auto3.9
Teleop10.1
End1.3
Third
15.21.4
11.813.2
Auto4.3
Teleop8.7
End2.2
red by 3.1
7813
#21
12.00.7
12.212.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed