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Red131
967917.6
505339.9
21746.9
Blue72
31417.9
309828.8
586023.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10355015020013172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+41Teleop
+55Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +37
14Coral scored#12
51Coral points42
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
18Processor points6
24Net points8
42Algae points14
93Total teleop56
Reef
7L4#6
4L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#16
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
6Foul points2
131Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#8
46.91.8
39.941.7
Auto8.5
Teleop33.9
End4.5
red by 18.1
3098
#11
28.80.2
19.719.9
Auto4.6
Teleop23.8
End0.5
Second
5053
#26
39.91.8
33.034.8
Auto5.0
Teleop31.0
End3.9
red by 16.2
5860
#25
23.70.2
20.720.9
Auto5.8
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Third
9679
#15
17.61.8
16.518.2
Auto5.6
Teleop9.2
End2.7
blue by 0.3
314
#22
17.90.2
15.816.0
Auto3.8
Teleop12.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed