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Red28
776215.9
522515.4
592623.0
Blue55
26046.9
974722.1
612036.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4464020801001201402855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+11
Fouls+27
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +18
1Coral scored#4
2Coral points16
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
2Total teleop20
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#0
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
6Foul points22
28Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5926
#23
23.01.6
12.110.6
Auto5.4
Teleop13.2
End4.4
blue by 13.2
6120
#17
36.31.5
33.532.0
Auto8.6
Teleop20.5
End7.1
Second
7762
#32
15.91.6
18.516.9
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End2.1
blue by 6.2
9747
#12
22.11.5
12.310.8
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End3.8
Third
5225
#29
15.41.6
15.113.5
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End3.0
red by 8.4
2604
#39
6.91.5
9.07.6
Auto3.3
Teleop4.1
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed