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Red128
171844.2
546712.3
955842.1
Blue93
45312.7
718833.1
889918.0
73%Model gave it27%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9178406010012012893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+15Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
18Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +9
16Coral scored#14
58Coral points49
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
86Total teleop77
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#21
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
128Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.22.3
33.736.0
Auto7.4
Teleop28.2
End8.6
red by 11.1
7188
#30
33.10.8
32.933.7
Auto4.8
Teleop28.1
End0.3
Second
42.12.3
30.733.0
Auto9.6
Teleop25.3
End7.3
red by 24.1
8899
#27
18.01.4
16.818.2
Auto4.2
Teleop11.8
End2.1
Third
5467
#35
12.32.3
7.910.2
Auto2.0
Teleop7.8
End2.5
blue by 0.4
453
#24
12.70.8
12.813.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned7%Barge oddsMissed