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Red32
609920.2
811517.2
921212.9
Blue46
836413.8
330219.7
1066815.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615102040801003246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
0Teleop0
Endgame+2
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +6
5Coral scored#2
18Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
22Total teleop16
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points12
32Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6099
#34
20.21.7
22.620.8
Auto4.3
Teleop14.1
End1.8
red by 0.5
3302
#14
19.71.0
17.016.0
Auto2.4
Teleop15.7
End1.5
Second
8115
#36
17.21.7
21.419.7
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End3.5
red by 2.0
15.21.0
13.212.2
Auto4.3
Teleop8.7
End2.2
Third
9212
#38
12.91.7
10.89.1
Auto1.8
Teleop9.9
End1.3
blue by 0.9
8364
#37
13.81.0
15.914.9
Auto3.3
Teleop9.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsEarned