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Red144
353960.4
505339.9
118950.5
Blue50
31417.9
952816.4
506515.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16241010015020025014450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+70Teleop
+94Endgame
+94Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +66
18Coral scored#7
66Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#1
12Processor points6
24Net points4
36Algae points10
102Total teleop36
Reef
8L4#3
8L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#10
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +94
0Foul points0
144Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.40.3
57.957.6
Auto20.4
Teleop32.6
End7.3
red by 42.5
314
#22
17.90.8
16.015.2
Auto3.8
Teleop12.5
End1.6
Second
50.50.3
44.544.3
Auto9.9
Teleop32.0
End8.6
red by 34.1
9528
#28
16.40.8
15.114.3
Auto4.1
Teleop10.7
End1.6
Third
5053
#26
39.90.3
34.834.5
Auto5.0
Teleop31.0
End3.9
red by 24.6
5065
#33
15.30.8
19.018.3
Auto3.9
Teleop10.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed