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Red106
21746.9
609920.2
975726.6
Blue103
413028.4
26046.9
477944.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10078204060120140160106103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+3
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave0
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +8
19Coral scored#14
69Coral points51
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
87Total teleop79
Reef
9L4#8
6L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#24
BargeRed +6
10Cage & park4
10Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
106Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#8
46.90.8
41.742.5
Auto8.5
Teleop33.9
End4.5
red by 2.6
44.31.6
35.236.8
Auto8.5
Teleop28.8
End7.0
Second
26.60.8
19.920.8
Auto4.4
Teleop18.1
End4.1
blue by 1.8
4130
#18
28.41.6
25.026.6
Auto4.9
Teleop22.8
End0.7
Third
6099
#34
20.20.8
20.821.7
Auto4.3
Teleop14.1
End1.8
red by 13.2
2604
#39
6.91.6
7.69.2
Auto3.3
Teleop4.1
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed