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Red74
521418.3
171844.2
586023.7
Blue53
1066525.9
836413.8
546712.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions914702060801001201401607453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+17Teleop
+27Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +14
9Coral scored#6
32Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
46Total teleop32
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#10
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points6
74Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.20.2
36.035.9
Auto7.4
Teleop28.2
End8.6
red by 18.3
25.90.0
21.921.9
Auto4.6
Teleop19.2
End2.1
Second
5860
#25
23.70.2
20.920.7
Auto5.8
Teleop17.9
End0.0
red by 9.9
8364
#37
13.80.0
14.914.9
Auto3.3
Teleop9.2
End1.4
Third
5214
#31
18.30.2
19.419.2
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End2.5
red by 6.0
5467
#35
12.30.0
10.210.2
Auto2.0
Teleop7.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed