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Red32
781312.0
45312.7
522515.4
Blue96
952816.4
889918.0
481033.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4064020801001201403296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+44
Endgame+46
Fouls+64
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +47
1Coral scored#11
4Coral points41
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
4Total teleop51
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#4
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
12Foul points30
32Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5225
#29
15.41.1
14.012.9
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End3.0
blue by 18.2
33.60.9
22.323.2
Auto6.5
Teleop25.9
End1.2
Second
453
#24
12.71.1
11.210.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End1.7
blue by 5.3
8899
#27
18.01.5
16.217.6
Auto4.2
Teleop11.8
End2.1
Third
7813
#21
12.01.1
11.710.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End1.5
blue by 4.3
9528
#28
16.40.9
14.315.2
Auto4.1
Teleop10.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsEarned