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Red115
523927.5
1066815.2
353960.4
Blue63
718833.1
921212.9
776215.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1096105010015011563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+30Teleop
+50Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
0Leave0
7Coral scored#2
36Coral points9
36Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +3
10Coral scored#11
37Coral points40
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
51Total teleop48
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#15
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
2Foul points0
115Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.41.4
57.659.0
Auto20.4
Teleop32.6
End7.3
red by 27.3
7188
#30
33.10.4
33.634.0
Auto4.8
Teleop28.1
End0.3
Second
27.51.4
21.623.0
Auto6.3
Teleop14.3
End6.9
red by 11.6
7762
#32
15.90.4
14.514.9
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End2.1
Third
15.21.4
12.213.7
Auto4.3
Teleop8.7
End2.2
red by 2.2
9212
#38
12.90.4
9.39.7
Auto1.8
Teleop9.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned8%Barge oddsMissed