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Red116
477944.3
967917.6
31417.9
Blue79
609920.2
955842.1
26046.9
65%Model gave it35%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9180406010012014016011679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+21Teleop
+31Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points6
19Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +17
17Coral scored#10
61Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
75Total teleop58
Reef
7L4#4
7L3#3
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
6Foul points0
116Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.31.8
36.838.6
Auto8.5
Teleop28.8
End7.0
red by 2.2
42.10.1
31.831.9
Auto9.6
Teleop25.3
End7.3
Second
314
#22
17.91.8
15.217.0
Auto3.8
Teleop12.5
End1.6
blue by 2.3
6099
#34
20.20.1
21.721.8
Auto4.3
Teleop14.1
End1.8
Third
9679
#15
17.61.8
18.420.2
Auto5.6
Teleop9.2
End2.7
red by 10.6
2604
#39
6.90.1
9.29.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.1
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed