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Red83
546712.3
1065224.2
413028.4
Blue81
505339.9
586023.7
330219.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65870501001502008381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+2Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +5
11Coral scored#11
40Coral points41
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
64Total teleop59
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
83Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4130
#18
28.41.2
26.627.7
Auto4.9
Teleop22.8
End0.7
blue by 11.5
5053
#26
39.90.3
34.534.8
Auto5.0
Teleop31.0
End3.9
Second
24.21.2
22.824.0
Auto5.3
Teleop16.3
End2.6
red by 0.5
5860
#25
23.70.3
20.721.0
Auto5.8
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Third
5467
#35
12.31.2
10.211.4
Auto2.0
Teleop7.8
End2.5
blue by 7.3
3302
#14
19.70.3
16.016.3
Auto2.4
Teleop15.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed