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Red70
811517.2
1060629.1
889918.0
Blue84
309828.8
967917.6
952816.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77610501001507084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+10
+4Endgame
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +13
8Coral scored#11
28Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
6Processor points12
8Net points4
14Algae points16
42Total teleop55
Reef
5L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#15
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points18
70Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.10.4
29.829.4
Auto5.8
Teleop14.3
End9.0
red by 0.3
3098
#11
28.80.2
22.222.0
Auto4.6
Teleop23.8
End0.5
Second
8899
#27
18.00.7
17.616.9
Auto4.2
Teleop11.8
End2.1
red by 0.5
9679
#15
17.60.2
20.220.0
Auto5.6
Teleop9.2
End2.7
Third
8115
#36
17.20.4
19.719.3
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End3.5
red by 0.8
9528
#28
16.40.2
15.215.0
Auto4.1
Teleop10.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsMissed