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Red93
955842.1
522515.4
523927.5
Blue50
31417.9
836413.8
921212.9
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88552040801001201401609350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+23Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +17
11Coral scored#9
38Coral points33
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
12Processor points0
4Net points4
16Algae points4
54Total teleop37
Reef
6L4#3
2L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#11
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
93Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.10.5
31.932.4
Auto9.6
Teleop25.3
End7.3
red by 24.2
314
#22
17.90.5
17.016.5
Auto3.8
Teleop12.5
End1.6
Second
27.50.5
23.023.5
Auto6.3
Teleop14.3
End6.9
red by 13.7
8364
#37
13.80.5
15.715.2
Auto3.3
Teleop9.2
End1.4
Third
5225
#29
15.40.5
12.913.4
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End3.0
red by 2.4
9212
#38
12.90.5
9.79.2
Auto1.8
Teleop9.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed