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Red90
330219.7
974722.1
481033.6
Blue108
975726.6
118950.5
413028.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5912005010015020090108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+6
Endgame+10
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points16
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +3
14Coral scored#14
50Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
70Total teleop73
Reef
7L4#6
4L3#4
5L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +4
4Cage & park8
4Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points8
90Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.62.1
23.225.3
Auto6.5
Teleop25.9
End1.2
blue by 16.9
50.50.1
45.144.9
Auto9.9
Teleop32.0
End8.6
Second
9747
#12
22.12.1
13.815.9
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End3.8
blue by 6.3
4130
#18
28.40.1
27.727.6
Auto4.9
Teleop22.8
End0.7
Third
3302
#14
19.72.1
16.318.4
Auto2.4
Teleop15.7
End1.5
blue by 7.0
26.60.1
23.223.1
Auto4.4
Teleop18.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsMissed